JackNaylorPE
Well-known member
I'm not saying Apple won't be huge - I'm just saying you have to be on the same page. (arguing different models and stuff is a red herring).
The mile analogy is a good one. Apple completed the mile run by the time Surur's example ran 33 feet. There is nothing in the history of the marketplace to compare with this.
-Palm does not break out sales by country.....so the claimed 2.5 million sales is not US only.....so the numbers can not be compared unless out of US sales are stripped.
-Palm makes several models on different OS's. Many people choose a WM Palm because it fits some standard issued bu Sargeant IT ..... the iPhone doesn't work with Exchange server, it is not intended for this market, so Palm's sales in this market must be culled in order for it to be compared.
-Palm makes units in several price ranges in order to address different markets . Apple intends to do the same thing. Next quarter when the iPhone-Nano comes out, they will have a low end device to compete with. Until then Palm's low end sales must be culled in order to be compared.
The model argument certainly is no red herring, it is simply reality. I mean it's easy to scream whoop whoop Apple got pwned but only when ya close ya eyes and see what ya wish happened instead of what is actually happened. It's like the refree at a WWF match declaring one guy won fair and square while he ignored the guy's manager hitting the loser over the head with a chair.
Apple has fired the first salvo.....they have placed one product in one market niche. To analyze their success, one can only look at their success in the targeted market area. Here's how I see your argument going when say BMW puts a car are the market to compete with the Dodge Viper.
"Well BMW sure had some success with their new "California Racer" vehicle, released only in the state which carries it's name, it sold 1,000,000 plus vehicles in the 1st week....that's more than any other dodge model."
"whaddya talking about....BMW got pwned. Dodge sold 50,000,000 vehicles last year.
"But 25,000,000 of those vehicles dodge sold were trucks"
"yeah so"
"Well BMW doesn't sell trucks, they sell cars. How does one judge the impact of BMW's new model on the Viper market by comparing their sales with car + truck sales.
"Ah that's a red herring"
"Well what about the fact that the car is only currently being sold in California, the numbers you qu0te for dodge are all 50 states ?"
"Ah that's a red herring"
The point about Treo sales was made not to compare the two but to simply point out that the number of people who want a device that does what the Treo does is very small. Even if all Treo sales were in the US, 2.5 million is less than 1% of the US population. I don't see Apple getting hot and bothered by 1 % of the population. I think they have bigger things in mind.