I got my shipping notice with tracking info from UPS :
Location Date Local Time Activity
Chek Lap Kok, Hong Kong 03/09/2012 8:08 P.M. Departure Scan
Shenzhen, China 03/09/2012 11:55 A.M. Departure Scan
Shenzhen, China 03/08/2012 9:56 P.M. Origin Scan
China 03/09/2012 10:21 P.M. Order Processed: Ready for UPS
UPS and Fedex in my area (central NJ) are notorious for sticking to scheduled delivery dates. I've had packages that have been tracked to my local warehouse (5 minutes from my apartment) and sat there for 2-3 days until the scheduled date. I don't expect to see my iPad early by any means
I'll be overjoyed if it's here before lunchtime on launch day LOL