View Poll Results: Iphone or Droid
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Samsung Galaxy S2
- 09-15-2011, 11:52 PM #26
- 09-16-2011, 11:40 AM #27
At some point the iPhone will fit in that category as well. They simply can't keep doubling their figures as they have in the past. I'm not saying they will have a flop iPhone in terms of sales, but at some point market saturation does pose a problem. That's with all consumer products though.
- 09-16-2011, 02:00 PM #28
One thing that can't be accounted for is the fabled "pre-paid" iPhone. The unsubsidized price of a 3GS is ~$450. What if Apple started selling phones in the $300-350 price range? Unlocked & unsubsidized.
Another "what if" is a 3G iPod touch with full access to FaceTime, iMessage & Skype. It might not qualify technically as a phone, but it functionally would be one. How many people these days use their phones primarily for text messages & social networking (Twitter, FB, etc.)?
In any case, the iPhone still has plenty of growth potential ahead of it. Remember that only a minority of cell phone users have switched to smartphones. It is a rapidly expanding market and the iPhone dominates the high-end part of it.
- 09-16-2011, 02:00 PM #29
- 09-16-2011, 02:36 PM #30
- 09-16-2011, 06:40 PM #31
- 09-16-2011, 11:11 PM #32
Well over a billion cell phones are sold each year. Less than 30% of them are smartphones. Both markets are growing, but the smartphone segment is growing even faster. Most analysts think that smartphones will comprise over half of all cell phones sold by 2016. That's at least another 5 yrs. of strong smartphone growth.
Although it's not representative of the world, people in the U.S. buy a new smartphone every 2-3 yrs. Worldwide the average may be a little longer, especially for the high-end phones. But it's still a relatively short time frame compared to computers or TVs. With a number of new features and technologies (4G, NFC, etc.) already anticipated for future smartphones, that replacement cycle time is not likely to go down.
Smartphones & tablets will be the vector that brings internet access to a large portion of the world. There are many regions where landline internet access is still not available. Cellular data will change that just as cellular phone service gave billions of people access to phone service where they had none before.
Smartphones and tablets are the technology growth story for this decade. "Eventual" slowdown of this market is a long ways away. Apple's iPhone & iPad are set to profit the most from this tech trend. They do and will have competition, but they will probably continue to hold a prominent place in the marketplace.
- 09-17-2011, 12:16 AM #33
I'm not saying their numbers will increase forever, obviously that's impossible, but I know that this year is going to be another increase in sales over last year.
- 09-17-2011, 11:32 AM #34
- 09-17-2011, 01:14 PM #35
This thread started out talking about the competition between iOS (iPhone specifically) and Android. In the short-term we're going to see how Android phones hold up to this next iPhone (s). And it's not just the device, it's also the new carriers that will be carrying the iPhone, both in the U.S. and abroad.
In the long-term, patents and Android forks (OPhone, Amazon, Baidu, etc.) will play an important part in how Android fares against iOS. I think iCloud will also be more significant than many people think.
JMO, but we may look back a few years from now and point to the iPhone 5/iOS 5 release as a turning point in people's perception of the Android vs iOS contest. Up to now I think the general belief is that Android surpassed iOS sometime last year. I think that opinion might change in 2012.
- 09-17-2011, 03:42 PM #36
In terms of competition, Google is in spot that they had better watch their step. Even though manufacturers publicly said they were happy w/ Google's decision behind buying MMI, I'm sure that many OEMs are considering other OSs more than ever. If manufacturers disagree w/ the way Google handles Motorola and decides to focus on other platforms, Apple will come out on top